Hi all,
On Wednesday, at Step 3, we at NBA Daily Picks had a winning bet. Today we are going with Step 1 and betting 1 unit. You can check 33% System rules here. In this post 33% System results are shown. If we were using flat betting at this moment we would be 1.57 units down.
Date: 02.14.2013.
Fixture: Miami @ Oklahoma City
Pick: Miami +5.5
Odds: 1.97 (-103) @ Pinnacle
Amount: 1 unit
Outcome: WIN
WIN-LOSE: 50-48-4 (51.02%)
33% System Profit: +17.58 units
Flat Betting Profit: -0.60 units
The reason for the pick:
Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Oklahoma City is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.
Miami is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 h2h meetings.
Agree with you here. I think the Heat win this game unless -- and this is a big caveat -- Russell Wilson goes off for about 35 points. If he actually contributes points, rather than taking shots away from Durant all night, the Thunder could win. But I'm guessing the Heat will let Russell Wilson shoot his team in the foot, while limiting Kevin Durant as much as possible. I've got Miami here.
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