Monday, November 25, 2013

Monday pick by NBA Daily Picks

Hi all,

On Sunday, at Step 2, we at NBA Daily Picks had a winning bet. Today we are going with Step 1 and betting 1 unit. You can check 33% System rules here. In this post 33% System results are shown. If we were using flat betting at this moment we would be 1.44 units down.


Date: 11.25.2013.
Fixture: Denver @ Dallas
Pick: Dallas -5.5
Odds: 1.93 (-108) @ Pinnacle
Amount: 1 unit

Outcome: LOSE
WIN-LOSE: 10-12 (45.45%)

33% System Profit: +8.99 units

Flat Betting Profit: -2.44 units

The reason for the pick:
Denver is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Denver is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Denver is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Denver is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.
Dallas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Denver is 1-6 ATS in the last 7 h2h meetings.


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