Tuesday, June 19, 2012

Tuesday pick by NBA Daily Picks

On Sunday, at Step 5, we at NBA Daily Picks had a losing bet. Today we are going with Step 6 and betting 12.5 units. You can check 33% System rules here. In this post 33% System results are shown. If we were using flat betting at this moment we would be 10.38 units down.


Date: 06.19.2012.
Fixture: Oklahoma City @ Miami
Bet on: Miami -3.5 
Odds: 1.99 (-101) @ Pinnacle
Amount: 12.5 units


Explanation:
Thunder are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Thunder are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 h2h meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 h2h meetings.


Bet outcome: WIN
WIN-LOSE: 78-84 (48.15%)

33% System Bank: 61.18 units
33% System Profit: -38.82 units

Flat Betting Bank: 90.61 units
Flat Betting Profit: -9.39 units

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