Thursday, March 10, 2011

Thursday pick by NBA Daily Picks

Yesterday, at Step 3, we at NBA Daily Picks had a losing bet. Today we are going with Step 4 and betting 6 units. You can check 33% System rules here. In this post 33% System results are shown. If we were using flat betting at this moment we would be -0.76 units down.


Date: 03.10.2011.
Fixture: LA Lakers @ Miami
Bet on: UNDER 189.5
Odds: 1.98 (-102) @ Pinnacle
Amount: 6 units

Explanation:
Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 3-0-1 in Miamis last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-1 in Miamis last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.


Bet outcome: WIN
WIN-LOSE: 59-56-1 (51.30%)

33% System Bank: 47.80 units
33% System Profit: -2.20 units

Flat Betting Bank: 50.22 units
Flat Betting Profit: +0.22 units

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